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A re­cent da­ta-dri­ven fore­cast by Cana­di­an con­sul­tan­cy firm Dunn Pierre Bar­nett and Com­pa­ny (DP­BA) has pre­dict­ed a nar­row vic­to­ry for the Unit­ed Na­tion­al Con­gress (UNC) in the up­com­ing Gen­er­al Elec­tion on Mon­day.

The in­de­pen­dent com­pre­hen­sive re­port, which analysed over 5000 vot­er sen­ti­ment sur­veys, con­stituen­cy-lev­el da­ta, and AI-as­sist­ed pro­jec­tions, sug­gest­ed that the UNC, led by Kam­la Per­sad-Bisses­sar, is poised to edge out the in­cum­bent Peo­ple’s Na­tion­al Move­ment (PNM) amid what it de­scribed as wide­spread so­cio-eco­nom­ic dis­sat­is­fac­tion and wan­ing sup­port among Afro-Trinida­di­an vot­ers for the PNM.

In an in­ter­view with Guardian Me­dia yes­ter­day, Di­rec­tor of Re­search Dr Jus­tine Pierre said the pro­jec­tion was de­ter­mined by slim mar­gins.