With just days to go be­fore Trinidad and To­ba­go's Gen­er­al Elec­tion on Mon­day, the lat­est poll con­duct­ed by the North Amer­i­can Caribbean Teach­ers As­so­ci­a­tion (NAC­TA) re­veals a fierce­ly con­test­ed race, with no ma­jor par­ty—nei­ther the Peo­ple’s Na­tion­al Move­ment (PNM) nor the Unit­ed Na­tion­al Con­gress (UNC)—hold­ing a de­ci­sive lead in sev­er­al crit­i­cal swing con­stituen­cies.

The sur­vey, co­or­di­nat­ed by Dr. Vish­nu Bis­ram and based on in­ter­views with 1,200 like­ly vot­ers across Trinidad, sug­gests the out­come re­mains un­cer­tain, par­tic­u­lar­ly in mar­gin­al seats where the dif­fer­ence in sup­port be­tween par­ties falls with­in the poll’s mar­gin of er­ror of 4%. Ap­prox­i­mate­ly 4% of re­spon­dents re­main un­de­cid­ed or have de­clined to dis­close their par­ty pref­er­ence, mak­ing the race too close to call in many ar­eas.

Ac­cord­ing to NAC­TA, the elec­tion could come down to a hand­ful of bat­tle­ground con­stituen­cies, as nei­ther par­ty has yet se­cured the 21-seat thresh­old need­ed to form a gov­ern­ment. Some mar­gin­al seats show a slight PNM ad­van­tage, while oth­ers lean to­wards the UNC, point­ing to an un­pre­dictable fin­ish.