Aregional climate outlook has warned that Barbados and other Caribbean countries face a heightened risk of flash flooding and related hazards over the next three months, with experts pointing to excessive rainfall, warming oceans and evolving El Niño conditions as key drivers during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.

The latest Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) climate forecast for the July to September includes the release of reports on temperature and precipitation outlook maps, the drought outlook, the wet days and wet spells outlook, the dry spell outlook, the flash flood potential outlook, the heat outlook, and the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season activity outlook.

“During the summer portion of the Caribbean wet season, El Niño is strengthening and water around the Caribbean steadily warming,” said the CariCOF outlook.