KINGSTON, Jamaica—The Meteorological Service of Jamaica (Met Service) says it is actively monitoring emerging climate patterns indicating the expected development of an El Niño phenomenon, which could influence rainfall and temperature conditions across the island in the coming months.

The Met Service, in a press release on Wednesday, said while Jamaica experienced above-average rainfall across much of the traditional dry season between January and April 2026, recent observations have shown a shift toward warmer and drier conditions in several areas of the country.

“Current climate indicators suggest the likely emergence of a major El Niño event during the year. Historically, such events have been associated with reduced rainfall across parts of the Caribbean region and increased temperatures, creating conditions that can elevate the risk of drought and heat-related impacts,” the Met Service said.